If you missed the announcement of our nations new CEO
(thats Jeff Immelt, not George W.), then you obviously were not attending RSNA this
year, where this little news topic was the single most talked about item among show
attendees, including exhibitors, salespeople, administrators and even radiologists.
Obviously, General Electric Co.s board did not need a recount. So, in a warm
farewell to Mr. Immelt, we ask How are the numbers going to be next
quarter?
Seriously, GE Medical has been transformed from a medical devices company into a
medical devices earnings growth engine in the classic sense leaving no customer
underserved or under billed. And every other medical device company in this market was
forced to react to GE which plays into GEs strengths and plan. At this
juncture, it looks like a three-horse race among GE, Philips and Siemens for top-billing
in radiology, with major supporting roles filled by Kodak, Fuji, Agfa, Toshiba, Marconi,
Hitachi, Varian and Hologic.
OK, OK, enough of the OEM nonsense. Lets get back to the point of RSNA new
toys for radiologists, physicists, CIOs and administrators.
Radiologys Future
Full of images, short on radiologists
Radiology departments today have a broad array of imaging tools and techniques to deploy
in search of healthcare problems of almost every kind. Douglas Maynard, M.D., noted in his
Presidents Address during the RSNA that the number of annual imaging procedures is
expected to grow 50 percent from 300 million today to 450 million in 10 years, with only a
20 percent corresponding increase in radiologists. Maynard made this point in support of
reworking the medical school quotas that limit the number of new radiology graduates. Good
luck, but dont hold your breath on this solution.
Adding to this burden is the exponential growth in the number of images per procedure
and the addition of 3D capabilities. Check out the latest CT and MRI systems for the
results these new imaging platforms and review workstations can deliver literally
hundreds and thousands of images per case, if you have the time and desire to so review
them.
My expectation is that radiology departments will continue to watch the increased
workload flow where it has been going for the past 10 years to the specialty
departments that have been adding imaging systems specially configured for their
applications. Radiology as a group wont be threatened as long as it helps, and
doesnt fight, the natural transition of the work to the therapy side of the house.
So, the message to radiology OEMs is start in radiology, then move to the specialty
departments where the action will be longer term. Good examples are cardiology (CT,
ultrasound and MRI) and C-arms (orthopedic, surgery).
PACS and CAD (computer-assisted detection) systems also factor into the dynamics of
more images and more procedures. We are just seeing the end-of-the-beginning for CAD
systems, as initially deployed by R2 Technology Inc. for mammography and lung cancer. The
demand for these systems can only grow, given the workload and need for repetitive
accuracy by radiologists. PACS are no longer an option. They now have become a required
part of the imaging infrastructure, and every imaging procedure should be available online
or it should not be performed. This should be the mission for RSNA next year, without
exception. Radiologists and OEMs should show us the technology and economics to make this
happen, so we can move on to providing better patient care with state-of-the-art
technology, not film. If film is still in your future, check your calendar you may
still be living in the 20th century!
RSNA Footnotes
A study from Case Western University presented at RSNA noted that 90 percent of parents of
children having diagnostic tests prefer to learn the results of the imaging procedure
IMMEDIATELY, rather than waiting to learn the results from their regular doctor. Duh!
Traditional radiologist behavior of interpreting the results sending a report to
the regular doctor getting in the way of progress here. If you are a parent, ask
about this before you even go for the test, and if they dont offer the results right
then, politely insist. I cant think of any reason that waiting improves this
process.
Also presented at RSNA was a functional MRI study on listening, comparing men with
women, which found a significant difference. Men only used half their brain, while women
used both halves. Does that imply men are more efficient?? Did we really need this study?
Im sure someone needed it.
Happy New Year! 
Doug Orr, president of J&M Group (Ridgefield, Conn.), consults with medical
device companies in strategy and business development for emerging growth markets, notably
radiology and cardiology. Comments and suggestions can be sent to dforr@aol.com.